BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Northwestern St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 84 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (3-2) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength = 111.80
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2022 Away L 96.76 0 47 1B 14 ( 8- 5) Montana -9.18 * -37.82
2 09/10/2022 Neutral L 80.26 21 47 1B 93 ( 3- 8) Grambling St -25.68 -0.32
3 09/17/2022 Away L 89.40 10 64 1A 94 ( 6- 6) Southern Miss -16.53 * -37.47
4 09/24/2022 Home W * 111.39 35 27 1B 116 ( 1- 10) Lamar 5.45 2.55
5 10/01/2022 Home W * 108.68 36 33 1B 101 ( 3- 8) Nicholls St 2.74 0.26
6 10/08/2022 Away L 105.59 27 35 1B 86 ( 2- 9) Eastern Illinois -0.35 -7.65
7 10/15/2022 Away W 128.25 37 10 ZZ 2 ( 2- 9) Houston Christian 22.31 4.69
8 10/22/2022 Home L 98.40 16 51 1B 18 ( 9- 3) SE Missouri St -7.54 -27.46
9 11/05/2022 Away W * 143.11 41 14 1B 76 ( 5- 6) TAMU-Commerce 37.17 -10.17
10 11/12/2022 Away L * 118.70 7 23 1B 27 ( 9- 4) SE Louisiana 12.77 -28.77
11 11/19/2022 Home L * 84.78 7 66 1B 4 ( 11- 1) Incarnate Word -21.16 * -37.84
Averages 105.94 21.5 37.9
Best game: 143.11 = 27 point win over TAMU-Commerce
Worst game: 80.26 = 26 point loss to Grambling St
Team stdev: 18.98